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MY CLUBHOUSE THESIS: HYPERINFLATION IS CLOSE

Discussion in 'The Kruse Longevity Center' started by Jack Kruse, Mar 11, 2021.

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  1. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    6.2% inflation. And that’s the number they are telling us! 1.48% for the 10 YR treasury That’s a -4.72% real yield.

    Real inflation is around 15%. With the ten-year bond at 1.48% keeping any asset in fiat is a sign of horrendous capital allocation. With this math the real yield is -13.52%
     
  2. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    Bitcoin giving a big F U to today’s inflation print. If you’re still not denominating your wealth in bitcoin, you’re risking it big time, not a joke. Protect yourself and your family from what’s to come. There has never been a better and more important time to get off zero.

    ATH now at 69K
     
  3. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    IMPLICATIONS: Real inflation is around 15%. With the ten-year bond at 1.48% keeping any asset in fiat is a sign of horrendous capital allocation. With this math, the real yield = -13.52% = This will drive future ATH in BTC way into 2022 and maybe into 2023. Bullish as f*ck

    [​IMG]
     
  4. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    Meanwhile, bonds offer -5% interest, banks front run your trades, and DC grifters pass multi-trillion dollar bills they haven't read, push inflation to 6% and insider trade stocks with impunity. Regulators "protect" you from crypto while approving exploitative futures products.
     
    Sean Waters and JanSz like this.
  5. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    111 CONTAINER SHIPS ARE FLOATING OFF CALIFORNIA'S COAST WAITING TO BE UNLOADED TUES, A NEW RECORD
     
  6. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

  7. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    If you still doubt that money printing is to blame for inflation, look at this chart.

    [​IMG]
     
  8. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    The coming policy error: Vaccine mandates are leading to the Great Resignation event in 2021.

    What happened right after our fiat default of 1971?

    In the year to December 1973, the consumer price index (CPI), net of food and energy, rose by 4.6%. By March of 1974, the “core” CPI had skipped up to 7.7%; the next month, it spiked to 11.4%. These observations were noted in hearings before a special Joint Economic Committee of Congress convened to address the scourge of skyrocketing prices.

    [​IMG]


    Fed Leadership back then Forces a Policy Error tied to coming off the gold standard and creation of Petrodollar
    “We might as well be realistic. No government anywhere is going to step on monetary and fiscal brakes to the degree necessary to fully curb inflation of this order because of the inevitable jolt to the economic system.”

    Bank of America President Clausen, May 1974

    What is happening in 2021 that rhymes with the stagflation of the 1970s?

    It happened before in the 1970s. At this time, unemployment rose, ending 1974 at 7.2% while inflation also peaked, at least for the five years that followed, at 12.4%. And there was a change in management, albeit not of the type he might have anticipated as the greatest resignation in U.S. history occurred on August 8th of that year, when Richard M. Nixon resigned, becoming the first president to ever do so, with the hope that he would, “hastened the start of the process of healing which is so desperately needed in America. Inflation continued higher until interests rates hit 20%. The new Fed chairman did what the old Fed chairman wouldn't.

    HISTORY LESSON
    “Iconic” fails to capture the stature of Barbra Streisand’s “The Way We Were.” Released on September 27, 1973, the agonizing ballad about losing the most beautiful thing that life can offer and then rip away has no equal. The song won two Oscars for the movie of the same name and was No. 1 on Billboard in 1974, a year the United States found so painful, it too chose to quickly forget. At the time, Rolling Stone magazine’s Stephen Holden said the lyrics, “resonate in the current social malaise.” Again, the word “malaise” failed to fully portray the depth of the country’s discontent.

    Transient inflation then took 11 years to be extinguished. Are your finances ready for what is coming now?

    Those afflicted by gov't propaganda and mandates need the hardest form of money available right now. Few of them realize how resignations due to mandates and Nixon have a common tie. Your future health & wealth is a result of how you value time.
     
  9. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    If you took this guy's advice behind Yellen and bought $10,000 bitcoin the day the picture was taken, it would be worth $292,000 today. That is how you fight Inflation Janet!

    [​IMG]
     
    ND Hauf, GavinH, caroline and 2 others like this.
  10. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    This is what scary leadership looks like for a taxpayer. You don’t reverse inflation/bring down costs by printing money. This is so basic. First inflation was “transitory,” then it was “supply chain” related, now they admit it, but claim it can be reversed by spending more. Insanity from the Executive branch.

    https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1458465779595288582
     
  11. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    The Great Mandate Resignation persists: Today, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data, 4.4 million Americans quit their jobs in September as the labor shortage persists. Bitcoin solves this.
     
  12. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    Broken supply chains are made worse by consumption. The government increase activity on the supply chains by inducing lockdowns. This was done intentionally to crash the economy so authoritarians in DC could power grab from the taxpayer.

    Since June 2021, US retail spending has been $700B over the 2010-2019 trend. This happens to be the amount of stimulus payments made to US households over and above UI and other support. This broke the (already overly fragile) global supply chain.

    Time magazine is under Fed control. They want to blame public consumption to create learned helplessness.

    https://time.com/6112491/supply-chain-shopping/
     
    GavinH, Johan Lindstrøm and JanSz like this.
  13. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

  14. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    The math of the current fiat fiasco:

    Total Interest on US National Debt vs. the Yield on the ten-year Treasury

    2021: $562B v 1.56%
    2017: $455B v 2.62%
    2013: $415B v 2.95%
    2007: $429B v 5.29%
    2000: $361B v 6.75%

    From 2000 to 2017, the interest expense obligation by US taxpayers rose +$94B in 17 years. From 2017 to 2021, it was +$107B in four years. Mathematically sustainable solutions needed because it is clear the Fed is bad at math.

    If you want to understand why rates can and will never rise again this is the math lesson.
     
    GavinH likes this.
  15. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    What will likely happen? Yellen will create a 50 yr bond because she wil reason with interest rates so low, why shouldn’t the U.S. Treasury lock in low interest rates by issuing more long-term debt and less short-term paper?

    Mnuchin looked at the 50 year bond, passed. I suspect Yellen won’t miss the opportunity.

    If you own a bond in this fiat fiasco I can never help you. You need to learn how to think better.
     
  16. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

  17. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

  18. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

  19. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    People completely forget that inflation compounds too. This is why the extraordinary CAGR of Bitcoin remain crucial for taxpayers.
     
    GavinH likes this.
  20. Jack Kruse

    Jack Kruse Administrator

    Why is counterfeiting illegal if it stimulates the economy? It's just being accommodative, no?

    ANSWER: Because banks cannot make money from it.
     
    GavinH likes this.
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